
05-15-2009, 01:10 PM
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Administrator
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Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Texas
Posts: 153
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Originally Posted by Bob Chen, Bloomberg :
About 50 percent of Hong Kong’s trade with China may be settled in yuan as exporters reduce their exposure to a weakening dollar, Industrial & Commercial Bank of China (Asia) Ltd. said.
The first settlements of international trade using China’s currency will start with about 400 Chinese companies in five pilot cities, Stanley Wong, deputy general manager at the unit of China’s biggest bank, said in an interview today in Hong Kong. The payments may expand to half of the $30 billion in trade excluding transshipments when authorities extend the program nationwide as soon as 2010, he said.
“There has been a perception that the U.S. dollar will continue to weaken,” said Wong. “Definitely on an annual basis, the yuan will probably appreciate against the U.S. dollar around 3 percent to 5 percent. It makes sense for companies to avoid foreign-exchange risk.”
Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao in March expressed concern the dollar will weaken and is promoting greater use of the yuan in transactions with trade partners. Hong Kong’s Chief Executive Donald Tsang wants the city to be the first outside of the mainland to use local-currency settlement, part of a bid to become a yuan finance hub.
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Yuan May Account for 50% of Hong Kong-China Trade (Update3)
Originally Posted by James Quinn, Telegraph :
Professor Roubini, of New York University's Stern business school, believes that while such a major change is some way off, the Chinese government is laying the ground for the yuan's ascendance.
Known as "Dr Doom" for his negative stance, Prof Roubini argues that China is better placed than the US to provide a reserve currency for the 21st century because it has a large current account surplus, focused government and few of the economic worries the US faces.
In a column in the New York Times, Prof Roubini warns that with the proposal for a new international reserve currency via the International Monetary Fund, Beijing has already begun to take steps to usurp the greenback.
China will soon want to see the yuan included in the International Monetary Fund's special drawing rights "basket", he warns, as well as seeing it "used as a means of payment in bilateral trade."
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China's yuan 'set to usurp US dollar' as world's reserve currency
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